With the 2 envelops paradox, my brother is convinc...

2010-02-16T09:05:46.693+09:00

With the 2 envelops paradox, my brother is convinced that the average amount of money in a infinite amount of trials will be greater with always choosing the second envelop. Therefore, it is statistically more sound to chose the second envelop.

Unfortunately, statistics do not play a role in a once-occurring event. Assuming you are, in fact, offered this opportunity MORE than once, you should still treat it as a stand alone event, weighing the potential psychological effects of your choice more heavily than the mathematical probabilities.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Necktie_paradox I ac...

2010-02-16T08:01:43.342+09:00

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Necktie_paradox

I actually can't wrap my mind around how people could figure it was anything other than 50-50% to be honest.

Comments on ま- く: Math thought experiment

With the 2 envelops paradox, my brother is convinc...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Necktie_paradox I ac...